Hi folks, long time lurker here, zero time poster. On this rare occasion, I feel as though I actually have something to say. Who am I and why should you care? well, i'm nobody but over the past 7 years I have held bets with every single major bookie that services the UK. All sportsbooks here are regulated so in general you should never have an issue if you are following the rules.
 
However, owing to the coronavirus in March of this year and suspension of every major sports league in the world, it quickly became apparent to me in communications with them that none were adequately prepared to deal with a situation quite like this. I was curious then to see how each would step up (or not) to the plate given that the majority of their T&C’s were fairly lacking RE: a global pandemic. How much can you really trust the books to do right by you and your money when it’s nut-crunching time. Let's find out!
 
I had just over £61k of open NBA division futures across 8 of the major UK bookies when the season was suspended. By day I’m a Chartered accountant (CPA for you folks across the pond) and ex-Big 4 auditor so you better believe I kept a paper trail of every correspondence and read the T&C’s of every site back to front. Now that everything has been settled, I’d like to a take a minute j̶u̶s̶t̶ ̶s̶i̶t̶ ̶r̶i̶g̶h̶t̶ ̶h̶e̶r̶e̶ to write about my experience with each book. Maybe it'll be useful to some of you.
 
These are the 8 sites in question: Bet365, Paddypower, Betfair, Unibet, 888, Betway, Skybet, William Hill (Notable omissions Ladbrokes/Coral and Betstars)
 

• Bet365 – A+ The gold standard and they simply can’t be beaten. Any bettor with experience knows that they are light years ahead of the competition in terms of well everything.. betting limits, customer service, UI, favourable treatment of their punters. This was one of only 2 books which had irrefutable wording in their rules with regards to NBA futures- “all bet stand regardless of team relocation, team name change or season length". No qualms, the ruling is crystal clear.
  
• A quick chat with one of their agents was all I needed to confirm that indeed all my bets are 100% live. Once the season resumed- divisions were marked as settled and paid out as soon as they were mathematically clinched.
  
• In a gesture of goodwill they also voided all Jazz NW division winner futures and paid out for all parlays which they were a leg of. Spoilers- they were the ONLY book to do so. This was worth over £10k to me and highly unexpected as at best I expected a push. The best book there is, period (and not just because they refunded me)
  

 

• PaddpoweBetfair - B+ I’m grouping these 2 together because they share the same traders. Another powerhouse duo in the UK. Terms and conditions here were far less forthcoming than for Bet365. No explicit wording regarding the status of suspended NBA futures but reassurances were given by live chat agents that they were in touch with the league to confirm whether NBA divisions would still be a thing. A fair position to take given the circumstances but still significant uncertainty for me regarding the status of my bets.
• These were however my fastest bets to settle once divisions were eventually clinched so I give them credit for that. No voided bets and everything settled as is. Communication could have been better in the 5 month gap but on the whole, OK.

 

• Unibet/888 - B Again, grouping these 2 because they share the same traders. No particular wording or clear T&C’s with regards to the status of bets in a suspension but Unibet do have their own forum where you can ask questions. For all intents and purposes I found them to be rather useless. A definite clear line of distinction between the agents answering questions and the traders who know (or don’t know) what’s going on but are unable or unwilling to commit to a clear answer one way or the other.
• With no clear T&C’s to cover the situation I understand why they took this line but it was of no comfort to me who had £17k of open bets between them. I was told seemingly every week “there’s a big meeting with the traders to discuss this on Friday” but never heard the outcome or details of said meetings. Definitely felt as though I was being given the run around but hey ultimately these were settled correctly as at the completion of every seeding game. Communication could have been better.

 

• Betway - B Same wording in their T&C’s as Bet365 so I had little worry about my bets being voided. My bets were marked as won as soon as they were clinched but were not paid out until the completion of every seeding game.
• I held no losing bets with Betway so cannot speak to whether they voided losers. Chat agents were clueless of their own T&C’s though when I sought to confirm whether my bets were live during the hiatus but on the whole at least tried to be helpful in our back and forths.

 

• Skybet – B- Semi-clear wording in their T&C’s: “If an NBA Division is not completed within the same calendar year, all Division bets will be made void unless the result has already been determined.” No confirmation from their traders what would happen if the season were totally suspended though, just that that they would resort to the ruling from the official governing body. Fine, what else could they do.
• Bets were settled on completion of all seeding games. Agent’s again a little clueless or hesitant to confirm or deny what would happen in the event of [insert scenario here] but on the whole, okay. Communication could have been better in the hiatus, i'm sensing a theme here..

 

• William Hill – F Maybe I’m being a tad harsh here but in my experience William Hill was by far the worst of all the books to deal with during this time. T&C’s: “Bets will be settled on the division standings on completion of all matches". What does this even mean? For months on end I was unable to get a clear answer from literally anyone. All matches being all matches of the original 82 game schedule, or all matches of the seeding games?
• With hundreds of messages exchanged it seemed crystal clear to me that even they didn’t know or hadn’t decided. On June 14th they ended up voiding all my bets including those which had already clinched by then. To be clear, it wasn’t an issue that these were voided if in fact these were voided in line with their T&C’s. I didn't care how these would be settled. However, the fact that nobody was able to offer any clarity on this one sentence for 3 straight months is ridiculous. Once they were voided then they were able to clarify that actually yes “all games” did in fact mean of the original 82 having having by that point already held onto my money for months longer than necessary.... definitely left a dirty taste in my mouth. Expected better for a book this size. F is for fail.

 
So overall? fairly positive to be honest. You can trust them all to do the right thing... eventually. The main element that was lacking during the down time was communication. I feel as though almost all of them were caught flat footed- didn't what to do, what to say and how to say it to their players when things first went zerodarkthirty, though even that I can sort-of overlook given the unprecedented situation. There is no doubt though, if your market is available on Bet365 and you aren't limited there's little reason to go elsewhere. This has been my TedTalk. Thanks for attending.

I have being on a long back and for with BET365. Has anyone had this issue with using a 3rd party card before?
Here was my situation. I had a large parlay and the last game was Patriots/Jets. It paid out around 3.5k. I wanted to deposit $800 so I could lay Jets +8.5 I think it was. A very nice hedge with possible for a large window.
My CC wasn't working. I tried a number of times and it just wasn't working. My GF kindly offered me her CC and the deposit worked. Turns out I hit the window for about a 4.4k payout. That night I decided to withdraw 4k and the following ensues.
Nov 10th - Email from Bet 365 saying I need a large number of documents for 3rd party card
Nov 11th - I have sent her ID, CC showing last 4 digits, Credit Card statement showing 365 Deposits
Nov 11th - "If you do have internet banking you should be able to download a PDF statement and send this to us. Failing that a page of a paper statement would also be sufficient." - Email from 365
Nov 15th - "To make sure that this is fully clear for you. Please send us either a picture of a paper bank statement (I appreciate you may not have one of these readily available) or a PDF file of the statement which can be downloaded from your online banking. - 365. After much back and forth it is decided I need to wait until Dec 3rd when my statement comes out to get the PDF copy of this.
Dec 3 - Copy of PDF of her banking statement was sent, as soon as it was produced
Dec 9 (6 days later after a number of followups)- I am sorry if there has been confusion caused within the last email as this will need to be a paper bank statement, You can send us your documents by email. Take a photograph of the document using your smartphone or camera and send this to [email protected]. Please remember to include your username and four-digit security number.
November 11th 365 said it was ok for me to download the PDF statement. Now on Dec 9th it is telling me I will need the bank to issue a paper bank statement.
Dec 9th ordered the bank statement from the bank. Took 20 days as it was Christmas time. This also cost me $20.
Dec 29th - I have sent statement that I received via Mail from the bank.
Dec 31 - "I do just want to make you aware that we do still require an ID document for the individual that is named on the card ending 4913." -365 Something I have sent 3 times already.
Jan 13 - 16 DAYS LATER "I do apologise for the delay. We are currently experiencing an unusually high amount of business levels at the moment but rest assured the relevant department will look to complete this review as soon as possible. I appreciate your continued patience and understanding throughout this process." - 365
Jan 14 - "I have chased this up for you with the relevant team and they have asked if we can take the third-party bank wire details from you. These also need to be added onto your account and we will then get an email sent to the relevant team again so they can continue the ongoing review of the account.
I do appreciate this has been ongoing for some time and I apologise for the continued delay.
We require the following details from you, in the third-party's name:

• Bank name
  
• Branch address
  
• Account holder’s name
  
• Account type e.g. Savings
  
• Account number
  
• Swift/BIC
  
• Transit Code
  

Once these have been provided and added to the account, we can proceed."
365 is asking me for more information, even though they said numerous times that this would be the last document.
Jan 14 - I sent them this info
Jan 14 - "The only remaining information required for the review process of the account to be fully completed is a Bank Statement that clearly shows the 3rd party Bank Wire details directly associated with the card ending 4913"
Jan 14 - I send this info
Latest Email
"In order to proceed, we require your assistance to enable us to fully verify the 3rd party bank details registered on your bet365 account. In order that we may confirm this information we ask that you return by e-mail a copy of the bank statement for these details. This statement must show the account holder's name and the account number. Please note that we can only accept images of physical documents at this time, and screenshots, PDF files or scanned copies will not be accepted."
Is this normal to be dicked around like this?

I found this on a computer i just bought from a stock trader in Stockholm, detailed research, perhaps i should short this one.
And for all of you who are concerned - it is all public info, this guy just did the math:

Kambi

Share Price History
On the 8th of June 2014 Kambi closed trading at 35.40SEK. In a period of 6 months the share price rose dramatically from 52.50SEK on the 8th of October 2015 to 152.00SEK on the 17th of April 2016. From July 2016 up until July 2018 the share price was in decline and closed trading on the 23rd of July at 67.50SEK. Throughout 2018 and the beginning of 2019 the price continued to rise and closed on the 28th of October at a price of 250SEK. Since that massive peak the price has been dropping (with some small peaks along the way) and closed on the 1st of September at 165.00SEK.¹
Analysis

• 2016
  • The peak from the beginning of October 2016 was due in part to the agreement between Kambi & Novomatic.²
• 2017
  • In 2017 there was a constant decline in the share price even though deals were reached with 888 holdings³, 7777⁴ and a renewal with LeoVegas⁵, seemingly this was due to the big drop in profits (from 1.8m to 100k€) in Q2 in 2017.⁶
• 2018
  • The ongoing raise between July 2018 and the beginning of 2019 is in part due to deals closed with Draftkings⁷, Global Gaming 555⁸, White hat gaming⁹, Parx¹⁰, and Kindred¹¹.
• 2019
  • On the 21st of July Kambi’s share price was at its lowest in recent times at 130SEK, this seems to be in direct response to the news that DraftKings are looking to drop Kambi¹².
  • Once a renewal was achieved with DraftKings¹³ the share price jumped up to 167SEK.

1 https://kambi.com/investors/share-information#958649297-2241684852
2 https://www.reuters.com/article/idINL8N1CP0IG
3 https://kambi.com/888-holdings-plc-selects-kambi-kambi-group-plc
4 https://www.kambi.com/kambi-group-plc-signs-sportsbook-deal-bulgarias-national-lottery-ad
5 https://calvinayre.com/2017/10/27/press-releases/kambi-leovegas-agree-long-term-contract-extension/
6 https://calvinayre.com/2017/07/26/business/kambi-sports-solutions-revenue-rises-profit-plunges/
7 https://www.kambi.com/kambi-group-plc-enters-sportsbook-agreement-draftkings
8 https://www.kambi.com/kambi-group-plc-signs-sportsbook-deal-global-gaming-555
9 https://www.kambi.com/kambi-group-plc-agrees-commercial-partnership-white-hat-gaming
10 https://kambi.com/kambi-group-plc-signs-sportsbook-deal-parx-casino-owner-greenwood-gaming-andentertainment-inc-0
11 https://www.kindredgroup.com/media/press-releases/2018/kindred-selects-kambi-for-nj-sports-bettingplatform/
12 https://www.gamblinginsider.com/news/7467/kambi-share-price-falls-following-draftkings-sbtech-reports
13 https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2019/08/22/1905221/0/en/Kambi-Group-plc-signs-contractextension-with-DraftKings.html
Summary
The share price has grown in the past 5 years 466% (35.40SEK – 165SEK) which is a large profit for original investors.
Based on the history of the past 5 years, Kambi’s share price is volatile and fluctuates based on deals with large clients and PR. Even mere news about signing or losing a client sends the price to move dramatically.
Public Projection
In recent publications and reviews Kambi Group Plc stocks are predicted to continue to raise in the coming years and are considered a reasonable safe investment¹⁴.

Our Investigation

Customers leaving

• ​

1. Kambi’s deal with Novomatic up to date is entirely functional and they haven’t signed any deals as a conjoined team, leading to believe that the peak in share price in 2016 was unfulfilled and incorrect.

• 2. Luckia left Kambi back in 2016, quoting ‘the new platform will provide a range of benefits to Luckia, including greater operational flexibility and improved price differentiation. It will also enable the operator to offer unique odds, set its own betting limits and payouts, customise content and marketing, and manage its sportsbook liability in real time¹⁵.
• 3. 888 Holdings in early 2019 purchased BetBright with a very clear vision of leaving Kambi and very recently announced that they will be in the near future using their own sportsbook.¹⁶
• 4. Draftkings are looking to close to deal in buying out SBTech which would point to them dropping Kambi, this is despite them renewing a deal with Kambi¹⁷.
• 5. Inside reports from a reliable source in R Franco have told our research team that they are in the process of leaving Kambi and signing with another major supplier.

14 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/kambi-groups-sto-kambi-169-043231121.html
15 https://www.gamingintelligence.com/business/40810-spain-s-luckia-drops-kambi-platform-in-favour-of-sbtech
16 https://www.sbcnews.co.uk/features/2019/08/20/888-guy-cohen-purchases-paspa-poke
https://www.marketscreener.com/888-HOLDINGS-PUBLIC-LIMIT-4005509/news/888-Public-H1-2019-Financial-Results-29182341/
17 linkedincom/pulse/grove-report-94-survey-says-chris-grove/
​
Negative Press

1. Kindred powered by Kambi have been placed on the blacklist in Switzerland¹⁸, pointing to illegal activity (Kindred are in deeply linked with Kambi - Kambi is B2B subsidiary of UniBet which is the original name of Kindred)¹⁹

Summary
Looking at the final Quarter of 2019 and the beginning of 2020 the future doesn’t look bright for Kambi. Two of their biggest genuine clients (ignoring their spinoff Unibet) - DraftKings & 888 Holdings are poised to quit, and add to the mix our reports that R Franco are looking to leave Kambi. These moves indicate that Kambi are a product big customers’ are afraid to rely on. In addition we see in other news that that they aren’t as squeaky clean as they proclaim they are.
Since Kambi is a company which its value is solely based on PR and clients, we strongly believe based on our extensive research, contrary to popular belief Kambi’s value is going to drop and its share price will be trading below 100SEK in the near future and continue to drop. If they lose Draftkings and 888 Holdings they will struggle to recover, as Draftkings is their main ticket into the United States.
Advice
Based on the analysis and predictions, our advice to our in-house brokers and advisors is to recommend selling Kambi shares and not to purchase. On the bright side, long term investors have earned tremendously from recent growth.
18 https://www.casinonewsdaily.com/2019/09/04/bet365-unibet-and-1xbet-domains-blacklisted-in-switzerland/
19 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kindred_Group

Part 2 here - Part 3 here - Part 4 here

On Friday at 8pm UK time, Reading and Derby County will kick off the 127^th season of the English second division - also known as the Championship! 24 clubs will compete for 3 promotion spots to the Premier league (2 via automatic promotion and 1 via playoffs) and to avoid the 3 relegation spots to the third tier a.k.a League One.

Its looking like a really tight and competitive season. The league is absolutely full of ambitious player and managerial talent - the more time goes by the more it looks like a Premier League 2. If you want a competitive league with proper English football, that also has the spice of skilful players and forward thinking managers, it really is the place to go.

This is guide written by the fans who have come together on /Championship - an absolutely huge thanks to them. Do check out the sub, we try to keep it a good place to discuss the EFL, away from the rancid gloryhunting shithole that is /soccer (just kidding - I like this place). Lots going on, including a score predictor thread which is running all season.

This guide is in table order with the PL demoted sides first. Only 5 clubs today (because the Swansea one is a fucking novel and I can't fit any more in), the rest will be submitted tomorrow and Friday. Do bare in mind that not all the transfer news will be up to date as these guides were largely written a week ago. Point out to me if there are any clear errors with formatting or spelling.

Championship info, links and media

/Championship's 17/18 player of the season review

Season previews: The Guardian | Sky Sports | The Mirror
EFL focused podcasts: Not the Top 20 | The Totally Football League Show
The 17/18 table - Wolves, Cardiff and Fulham went up. Barnsley, Burton and Sunderland went down. This season West Brom, Swansea and Stoke join from the PL and Wigan, Blackburn and Rotherham join from League 1.
These are the bookies' favourites for promotion (via Oddschecker):

Club	Odds
Stoke	2.75
Middlesbrough	4
West Brom	4
Nottingham Forest	4.5
Leeds	4.75
Swansea	5

And relegation:

Club	Odds
Rotherham	2.2
Bolton	2.25
Ipswich	4.5
Reading	5
QPR	6
Hull	6

How to watch in the UK: Live rights are owned by Sky Sports. They are upping the number of televised matches this season. Reading v Derby on Friday is televised. The weekly highlights show previously on Channel 5 is moving to Quest TV, which apparently is on Freeview.
How to watch abroad: Depends, but in most territories, the iFollow Service is available, which is £110 to watch all a single club's matches. Bargain. I think the clubs that aren't on iFollow have their own similar streaming services.
Check out club Youtube channels - quite a few of them post extended highlights now with their own commentary, including Derby, Norwich, Sheffield Wednesday, Brentford and more. (You may need VPN to watch if you're abroad.)

Swansea City by RafiakaMacakaDirk and my_knob_is_gr8

Location: Swansea, Wales
Nickname: Swans, The Jacks
Major honours: Football League Cup (2013), Championship Play-off Winner (2011), League One Winners (1925, 1949, 2008)
17/18 finishing postion: 18th (Premier League)
Transfermarkt squad value: €115.5 mil NOTE: This number is as of July 22nd, when we still have Mawson (€15 mil), A. Ayew (€15 mil), Bony (€10 mil), Clucas (€8 mil) and Fernandez (€8 mil), who are all pretty much expected to be sold, or loaned out, before the season starts. Without all of these players except Bony (who's injured for a while so it makes it unlikely he'll be sold soon), the squad value would be around €70 mil.
Manager: Graham Potter joined the Swans on 11th June 2018. In 2010, he became head coach of Östersund, who were in the fourth tier of Swedish football. 5 years later, he got the club promoted into the Swedish top flight and in 2017, they won Svenska Cupen which qualified them for the Europa League where they managed to get through the group stage. He’s been applauded for what he did at Östersund and the way he managed to build the club up from nothing. The year after his success in the Europa league he signed a 3 year contract with Swansea.
Potter is well respected by The Swans and after a few years of poor managerial and financial decisions his appointment is seen as a step in the right direction to bringing us back to our old ways of being a well-run club. Potter has been recognised for his "progressive" and "unconventional" coaching methods. At Östersund, he encouraged his players and staff to engage in community activities, such as performing in theatre and music productions which was designed to take them out of their comfort zone. Potter describes his style of football on the pitch as "tactically flexible, attacking, and possession-based". At Östersund, he deployed a flexible 3–5–2 formation centred on ball possession.
Best player(s)/ talisman:With many of our best players being rumoured with a move away what good players that remain at the start of the season is yet to be seen.
Alfie Mawson is probably our standout player. He’s been amazing for us since we got him and was a bargain at about £3m. He’s great in the air and is just an all round tank. Keeping him will be a huge boost for us and should be solid in the championship.
Federico "El Pajaro" Fernandez has also been strong at the back with Alfie. The pair played with each other for the majority of last season and together became a solid unit. We will most likely sell him to reduce wages though.
Jordan Ayew put in a great shift last season and was our top goal scorer. His work rate was immense and was able to drop back and defend when needed. He’s fast, able to beat a man and a decent finisher. Sadly all these players are transfer targets for other clubs and might not even be here at the start of the season. If we can keep a lot of our players we should have a decent season but who knows who'll be left by the end of the window…
Rising star: Swansea’s U23 had a great season last year and with Potter wanting a young and fresh squad, a handful have moved up into the first team.
Our standout youngster, Oliver McBurnie, joined Barnsley on loan in January last season where he went on to win a Championship player of the month award after 6 goals in 8 games and went on to win Barnsley’s Player of the year award. While only 22, he’s struggled to break into our first team but will most likely be our main striker for the coming season. Be on the lookout for his long legs, miniature shinpads and ridiculous sock length! LEGS LEGS LEGS!!!
Connor Roberts performed well at RB last season and adapted quickly to the premier league where he battled Kyle Naughton to be in the starting line up and did great when given the chance. Decent at going forward and professional at the back. Hopefully potter puts him ahead of Naughton.
What happened last season?: What Happened last season?: After our great escape the season before and with Paul Clement at the helm there was optimism that the 17/18 season could be our turning point where we start rebuilding 'The Swansea Way". How wrong we were.
After a disastrous transfer window where we sold Sigurdsson and never replaced him and started panic buying the week before the transfer window closed we were left an obvious hole in our team. We had no creativity in midfield and no one could kick the ball into the box to save their life. And just to rub it in further Renato Sanches turned out to be more disappointing than Bob Bradley. With the team sitting bottom of the table Clement was sacked in late December.
Then along came the wise talking Carlos Carvalhal who managed to rebuild the confidence the team had lost. Our results took a turn for the good, beating Liverpool, Arsenal, Burnley and West Ham consecutively at home. He pulled us out of the relegation zone and things were looking good. However, the good times were quickly followed by the bad times. Our form turned and we didn’t win a single one of our last 9 matches. We were quickly relegated after pitifully losing to both Southampton and Stoke in our last 2 games of the season.
Highlights (Or lowlights):
The pass by Renato Sanches that summed up his and our season
Swansea City 3-1 Arsenal
Summer transfer business (so far): At the end of last season, it was clear we needed several transfers, both in and out. However, this would all depend on the manager we got.
Yan Dhanda (Free, Liverpool): A 19 year-old Midfielder, Yan Dhanda left Liverpool this summer and joined the Swans in a free, before we even hired Graham Potter. At one time one of the most promosing youngsters in Liverpool's Academy, injuries slowed down his progress, and ultimately made him fall behind other players. Citing lack of first-team playing time, Dhanda decided to join us this summer in hopes of getting regular playing time in the senior squad. Through 3 pre-season games, Dhanda has been one of the brighest and most impressive players in the squad, even scoring a game-winning goal and smashing a penalty in a shootout against Genoa. With our current injuries and shenanigans involved in our midfield, Dhanda has a good chance of becoming a starter and hopefully guide our midfield during the season.
Jordi Govea (Free, Real Madrid): Another 19 year-old from Ecuador, Jordi was the first signing under Potter. Not much can be said about the lad, but this is what Real Madrid had as his bio:

Jordi is an Ecuadorian defender who possess three key qualities for a player in his position: he's skilful, is able to go past a player and has a good shot on him. He's left footed and is able to send in good crosses on the run.

With Martin Olsson currently as our starting LB, and Kyle Naughton as the backup, the hope is that Jordi can develop on our U-23 squad and hopefully move up to the senior squad in coming years. Also the only man I've seen do a medical while wearing jeans (https://twitter.com/SwansOfficial/status/1015251916132057089)
Joel Asoro (€2 mil., Sunderland): Yet another 19 year-old, a Swedish winger who has represented his country in the younger levels, he was Potter's first senior signing. With world-class speed, and some impressive skills, Asoro was able to score 3 goals and get 2 assists last season in 26 apperances for Sunderland. While these numbers may seem a bit disappointing, many of these games were sub appearances on a very dysfunctional team. Along with Dhanda, Asoro has been one of the most impressive players during preseason, constantly beating his man with either speed or skills, and whipping in good balls to Legs. At the current rate, Asoro appears to have a good chance of starting on the right wing spot, with Nathan Dyer and Luciano Narsingh backing him up.
Predicted starting XI: NOTE: This is gonna be assuming Mawson, A. Ayew, Clucas, and Fernandez are all sold by the start of the season. If by some reason they end up staying, they are pretty much guaranteed to start. Based on the pre-season games so far, a lineup looking like this would be plausible, with Rodon most likely to be replaced by a CB (possibly Scott McKenna) when we buy one. Our second unit is looking something like this.
Best case scenario: Graham Potter is able to motivate and make sure our senior players (Fer, Carroll, etc.) stay fit, along with our youngsters being able to make an impact as expected, and also we retain Mawson, Fernandez, and Clucas, we can finish in the top 2 and get promoted automatically.
Worst case scenario: Our worst case scenario, and something many of us fear of happening, consists of primarily 3 things. 1. Graham Potter isn't given enough time to build an identity with our squad and is sacked by the midway point of the season by the greedy, dumb American owners. . 2. We end up not replacing the players we sold properly like last summer, therefore having a squad with holes everywhere and no chemistry. 3. Our youngsters such as Asoro, McBurnie, Dhanda and company don't pan out and progress at all, thefore becoming mediocre players. This would all culminate in us looking like Sunderland, and making relegation a probability.
Prediction: Realistically I see us selling Mawson and company in the last days before the season starts and not replacing them properly until later on. Because of this, as well as our current injuries with Fer and Clucas, I can see us initially struggling to build an identity but over time, we will start playing like Potter wants us and finishing the season strongly.
8th place, missing the play-offs by 4 points
What will happen to your closest rivals?: The scum that is known as Cardiff City will break the record for lowest points ever accumulated in a Premier League season, getting 5 points all from draws, and will therefore get relegated with 17 games to spare.

West Bromwich Albion by Joelwba

Location: The Hawthorns, West Bromwich, West Midlands
Nickname: The Baggies, The Throstles
Major honours: 1x League title, 1x League Cup, 5x FA Cup
17/18 finishing postion: 20th in Premier League (relegated)
Transfermarkt squad value: £101.16m
Manager: Darren Moore or Big Dave as he's known to Albion fans. A club icon as a player in the early 2000s, he returned to look after our U23 squad before being promoted to assistant manager by Alan Pardew in January. Following the end of Pardew's horrific reign, Moore took temporary charge with Albion facing inevitable relegation. He led us to wins over Newcastle, Spurs, Man Utd and a draw with Liverpool, somehow taking our futile battle for survival to the final week of the season. Following this he earned the head coach role permanently. Moore is loved among the Albion faithful, largely due to his reputation as a player here. He heavily favours a 4-4-2 formation and at the back end of last season, tended to soak up pressure and play on the counter attack. It will be interesting to see how his approach differs in a league where we are one of the favourites, not fighting to survive (hopefully)
Best player(s)/ talisman: It's an interesting situation for Albion currently. There are plenty of Premier League quality players still in the squad. A lot depends on if they are picked off before the deadline shuts. Chris Brunt is a club stalwart and likely to be reappointed as captain. He is adored by the fans and in my opinion will be an incredible asset in the championship. His set pieces alone will bring 10+ goals to the side. Kieran Gibbs is a high quality player who appears to be set to stay and should make a big difference. Jay Rodriguez, Craig Dawson, Salomon Rondon and Nacer Chadli should all make a big difference in this division IF they stay. In all honesty I expect to lose a few of the above. Sam Johnstone appears to be an astute signing to replace the outgoing Ben Foster.
Rising star: Sam Field he's one of our own! He looked completely at home against some of the top Premier League sides last campaign. A box-to-box midfielder, he's full of energy and looks so comfortable on the ball. I expect him to be a major part of our side this season, having just signed a new long-term deal.
Kyle Edwards is an exciting attacking midfielder who has been impressing in pre-season. He may have a part to play following a loan spell at Exeter last campaign.
Jonathon Leko looked like a potential world-beater when he first came through a couple of years back. A lightning quick winger full of tricks. A loan spell at Bristol City and limited appearances later he seems to be losing his way. Will be an interesting one to watch.
Finally, the enigma that is Olly Burke. After signing with us last summer for £15m, he failed to impress any of the four managers we had over the season. He looks exciting when he comes on, without any end product so far, and was unfairly blamed for a loss at West Ham by Alan 'Coward' Pardew. We all know the talent he's got. Hopefully we can see it this season.
What happened last season?: Let's not talk about it... We finally escaped the stranglehold of Tony Pulis, only to opt for the human joke that is Alan Pardew and duly hurtled towards relegation. Four of our players stole a taxi and then played (and lost) the following weekend.
Pardew was sacked about 3 months too late, and Moore took over, restoring pride with some notable wins over Man Utd and Spurs.
This season we also lost the great Cyrille Regis, and the outpouring of emotion and the coming together of the club during the weeks after his passing was something special.
Summer transfer business (so far): We started by releasing Claudio Yacob, Boaz Myhill and Gareth McAuley. Yacob and McAuley will be greatly missed but it is perhaps the right time for them to go.
Jonny Evans departed for Leicester for a cut-price £3m, Ben Foster left for Watford and James McClean has departed for Stoke City.
Sam Johnstone has been bought in to replace Foster, with Jonathon Bond arriving as backup. Kyle Bartley has joined from Swansea City and it appears that Harvey Barnes will soon be arriving on loan from Leicester.
Finally, James Morrison is currently out of contract but still with the club. His future is uncertain.
I am very happy with Johnstone and Bartley. It has been a quiet window for Albion so far but that is largely a good thing. The squad is packed with Premier League talent and the window is more about keeping hold of them.
There is major interest in Dawson and Rondon, along with interest in Rodriguez, Hegazi and Chadli. If any of the above go, then we would need to replace. Otherwise I would be happy with another striker and another CB.
It is also worth mentioning that every player in the Albion side suffered a 50% wage cut upon relegation which means that we are financially sound despite relegation, but may lead to more big names leaving.
Predicted starting XI: This is my best attempt. It will undoubtedly be 4-4-2. We may see Nyom in at right back and perhaps Barry in for Field.
Obviously about half of this side could leave, so we shall see.
Best case scenario: The bulk of the side remains and the quality in the side shines through as we breeze to automatic promotion.
Worst case scenario: The better players leave or do not put the effort in. Moore cannot transfer his great start into his first full season in management. We become embroiled in a relegation battle
Prediction: It will be somewhere in the middle. I'd like to think we'll go up automatically but I think play-offs are more likely. 6th
What will happen to your closest rivals?: Villa won't go down but will settle into mid-table, despite the recent takeover.
I think Wolves will do well in the PL, although I don't know how long Nuno will last before a big club comes in.

Stoke City by mrmariomaster

Location: Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
Nickname: The Potters
Stadium: bet365 Stadium, 30,089 seats
Major honours: 1972 League Cup
17/18 finishing position: 19th, Premier League
Squad value: £127.8 million
Manager: Gary Rowett signed from Derby in May. His honest attitude has brought lots of optimism to fans, who are looking forward to an overhaul of the Club. His style of play seems to change based on the squad he has available.
Best Player: Joe Allen was vital to the Club last season, giving us hope that we would avoid relegation. His massive new contract signed this summer shows how loyal and committed to the Club he is, and will be a vital player this season.
Rising star: Tom Edwards is a local lad who has won the Under 18 Player of the Year award twice in the Club. In the latter parts of last season he played some good first team football.
What happened last season: A pathetic attempt at a season that had been coming for a while under Mark Hughes. Paul Lambert was appointed in January, but a win rate of just 2 in 15 matches wasn’t enough for him to keep his job and miss out on the million pound bonus offered to him.
Transfer business so far: So far this has been a decent transfer window. Peter Etebo had an amazing World Cup for Nigeria and Benik Afobe looks really promising. Adam Federici has also been appointed to replace Lee Grant. Xherdan Shaqiri has left along with a few players like Stephen Ireland and Glen Johnson who will not be missed. Badou Ndiaye also looks to be on his way out, but it looks like Jack Butland will stay with us, which is massive. Perhaps most surprising are the new contracts signed by our 2 best players last season, Joe Allen and Moritz Bauer.
Predicted Line up: Here is our predicted squad. I’m not sure what formation we will have. EDIT: This is a new version, complete with our rumoured new signings and in the right formation.
Best case scenario: Stoke will finish top with an all-time Championship points record.
Worst case scenario: A mediocre start to the season will see Rowett sacked and Stoke with a disappointing mid-table finish.
Prediction: I think with our squad and our new manager, we will finish 1st.
What will happen to our closest rivals? Port Vale will be relegated to the Vanarama National League.

Aston Villa by trueschoolalumni

Location: Villa Park, Trinity Rd, Birmingham B6 6HE
Nickname: The Villans, The Villa, Prince William's Club, David "Twat" Cameron's Second Club.
Major honours: 7 First Division wins, 7 FA Cups, 5 League Cups, 1 European Cup, 1 European Super Cup, 1 Intertoto Cup
17/18 finishing postion: 4th
Transfermarkt squad value: £67.77m and dropping fast
Manager: Steve Bruce (for now). Former Man Utd playing legend who's been a fixture of English football for decades. He joined Villa in 2016 after successful runs at Hull, Sunderland (yes they were good once) and Birmingham City. A bit of a promotion specialist, he's taken Championship clubs up to the Premier League 4 times in the past and just missed out last season, losing 1-0 to Fulham in the Playoff Final. Tactically, he's fairly old school who prefers 4-4-2 or a 4-1-4-1, usually involving a big man up top. Fun fact: while managing Huddersfield in 1999 he wrote three novels, "Striker!", "Sweeper!" and "Defender!", which focus on main character Steve Barnes, a football manager. Barnes solves crime and takes on terrorists, and the books have become prized rarities. The Guardian's Football Weekly podcast managed to get a copy and read out some of the copy - suitably awful.
Best player(s)/ talisman: There's only one Jack Grealish. A Villa boy through and through, he's been with the club since 2001 (aged 6), and made his way into the first team in the 2013-14 season. He's been the centre of controversy a few times, most notably getting on the beers and passing out on a Tenerife street. Playing as a number 10, his quick feet and dribbling skills provide a number of goals and assists, as well as fouls. He probably went down a bit too easily when first in the Premier League, but time in the gym has noticeably toughened him up and he's a much more solid player as a result. One of the better players in the Championship, and due to Villa's abject finances, a transfer target for the likes of Leicester.
Rising star: Keinan Davis could possibly be it, potentially Andre Green and Rushian Hepburn-Murphy as well.
What happened last season?: Have you ever walked into a casino, spotted the roulette table and popped £10,000 on red? It's a bold strategy, Cotton. Let's see if it pays off. You've doubled your money if you win, but look like a right git if you lose. Villa figured this was a good way to approach 2017-18: spend millions on players, get in lots of loans, gamble everything on achieving promotion. After a so-so start, Bruce got the team playing well, stringing together a number of wins and moving through the playoff spots. Unfortunately they ran into a few teams playing out of their skin - champions Wolves ran away with the league and boasted a squad that included several Champions League players. Neil Warnock's Cardiff couldn't stop winning and grabbed the second automatic promotion. In the playoff final Villa came up against a Ryan Sessegnon-led Fulham and were just pipped at the post 1-0.
Summer transfer business (so far): It's one-way traffic, due to absolutely abysmal finances. Loan spells for Lewis Grabban, Robert Snodgrass, Josh Onomah and Sam Johnstone have all ended, which is almost the spine of the team (Johnstone in particular - he was arguably the best keeper in the Championship and personally bagged a number of wins). Plus clubs are circling to pick off whatever assets we have left (eg. Jack Grealish, James Chester). With no prospect of anyone new coming in, it looks like the youth academy will be getting a lot more game time.
Predicted starting XI: Possibly this, but half these players could be gone before the first match.
Best case scenario: Mid-table anonymity would have to be best case - Villa are a mess and could go down this time around.
Worst case scenario: Our finances are the real issue - they are dire. Villa need to find £9 million this month to avoid going into administration. Owner "Dr." Tony Xia is a billionaire, apparently, but tax bills went unpaid and the question remains if he's able to support the club as generously as he has in the past. Administration, points deductions and potentially relegation to League One are all real possibilities right now. It's not looking good.
Prediction: Due to financial irregularities in the 23 clubs above us, Villa will get into the Champions League and take out the likes of Atletico, Bayern and Real Madrid on the way to our second European Cup. "Taylor, Green, prepared to venture down the left. There's a good ball played in for Jack Grealish. Oh, it must be and it is! It's Keinan Davis!"
What will happen to your closest rivals?: Unfortunately the Scum managed to avoid League One in the final rounds of the season. Here's hoping they go one better. Agbonlahor to re-sign for one game: the Derby. And score the winner, again.

Middlesbrough by OneSmallHuman

Location: The Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Founded: 1876
Nickname: The Boro (Or just Boro)
Major honours: The League cup 2003-2004 season
17/18 finishing position: 5th
Transfermarkt squad value: 79.34m
Manager: Tony Pulis became manager of us in late December 2017, replacing the sacked Garry Monk after a pretty lacklustre few months of the campaign (despite where our league position was). Pulis is known in England for being the man that is never relegated when in charge of someone in the top flight. We are all aware of Tony Pulis' style of football. You start by having a strong and massive defence and maximise your use of set pieces to gain an advantage. Pulis is a lover of all set piece plays, whether that is crossing the ball in from a corner or free kick, or launching a ball into the box from a throw in, they're all in his arsenal of weapons. 'Pulisball' as it is pretty much known. Pulis has achieved promotion from the championship once before with Stoke, and I hope he achieves it again with us this season
Best player(s)/ rising star: I mean, where else do I begin. Adama Traore. Arguably the best player in the championship on his day and is one of the most frightening dribblers in English football, maybe even world football. The winger is known for his speed and dribbling ability although is usually criticised for his lack of end product. Before last season I would've agreed, however 5 goals and 10 assists, with all but 2 assists coming before Pulis' arrival show the progression of the Spanish winger.
As for other members of the squad, Ben Gibson, the prodigal son. Boro through and through he's progressed into a commanding centre half with the ability to play out from the back thanks to Karanka. He gained attention and emerged as one of the few given credit after our disappointing premier league campaign but was only the subject of one bid upon our relegation, from now manager Tony Pulis. It remains to be seen whether he'll be here come the first game of the season, but I hope he will be.
As for future stars, Dael Fry, already has played 2 championship campaigns for us and looks as assured as a veteran of the game. Another centre half produced by our academy and he is being played in cdm this pre-season by Pulis, to add to his versatility. Hopefully a standout season for him, especially if Gibson does end up leaving. Finally, yes, he does always look as confused as images of him show.
What happened last season?: Well, the first half of the season was tragic under Monk. We played really poor football at times and looked like we hadn't defended a day in our lives. There was also no consistency in the team, we'd win one game then lose the next. A key theme under both managers however, was our inability to beat those around us in the table. After Pulis' appointment the results picked up and it ended with us finishing 5th in the table. We ultimately lost in the playoff semi finals to Aston Villa but honestly, we didn't think we'd even be in the top half around Christmas.
Summer transfer business (so far): Just the three deals to talk about so far. We've acquired Paddy McNair from Sunderland who looks like a decent player. He's been utilised in right back and midfield during pre-season so it looks like they'll be his positions for the season. I imagine he'll play alongside Clayts and Howson in a midfield three.
Aden Flint was signed from Bristol City and I think I'm in the minority when I say I don't like how much we paid for him. Obviously the man is a Pulis player but I'm a bit unsure about his defensive ability. That being said he's looked strong during pre-season and I'm sure Pulis will get the best out of him. Fabio departed our club for Nantes so we'll need more full back cover.
As for the rest of the window, I expect Gibson to leave but will be delighted if he doesn't. One of our strikers will also leave and Braithwaite should follow after his decent World Cup performances. We'll probably bring in a striker and a winger and hopefully hold onto Adama. That'd be a successful window in my eyes.
Predicted starting XI: My best guess The only other guess I could make is that Gibson might leave and then Ayala would start, but he's injured at this point in time. Britt might play over Gestede too if Pulis is feeling fancy.
Best case scenario: It has to be top of the pile right? It's not out of the question to imagine us up there and if everything clicks then we've got a chance. A defence that scores more than some teams' strikers, Adama channelling his inner Messi and finding consistency, Rudy/Britt/Bamford scoring for fun. It could be carnage.
Worst case scenario: I can't see us finishing outside the playoffs, if we did then that would be gut-wrenching. But if we did then that would most certainly be the worst. Realistically, it'd be losing in the playoffs... again, and if it were in the final again then god help me. Although saying this, now losing Bamford and maybe Traore will be a worst case scenario in itself, definitely if they're not replaced.
Prediction: Have to be confident, although it always kills me. 1st or 2nd. Tony Pulis and his nice white trainers carry us to the promise land. That being said, we never do it the easy way.
Best Match of Last Season Sorry Leeds fans, but it had to be. "Hattrick Bamford" as our Twitter account tweeted, 3-0 against Leeds with Adama running the show. Leeds clearly found some positive from the game as they're set to sign him off us. This was the sign of what we should've done more last season. Showed what Paddy could've been too if given an even more extended period in Striker by himself. Oh well.
What will happen to your closest rivals?: Who even are our closest rivals in this league? We're in geographical purgatory. Can't say Sunderland anymore so what? Leeds? Bielsa either turns them into the well oiled machine they hope for or he succumbs to the old Leeds ways and is sacked by December. As for the Mackems, probably promoted from League 1.

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This is going to be a long read, and English is not my tongue language so excuse me in case there are some grammar mistakes.
I will try to explain from my experience which methods I have used during the last two years to make money in this business. Some of them worked pretty well, some of them not that good, but still I want to share with you guys some tips specially for those who just began on Betting.
To make this clear: The strategy I used and I am still using to make money on betting is the Bonus Hunting strategy I am explaining below. The rest of this post are tips and other methods which I have tryied but *not with that good results, and of course, with risk*
BETTING TIPS
There are PLENTY of amazing posts / comments about this here, but it's always good the have a reminder. From my experience this are some of them:

• Fix STAKES and learn how to manage your bankroll before start betting. You don't need to have 10 different stakes, 2 or 3 are fine if you know how to manage them. Professional tipsters they sometimes use a flat stake and sometimes 2-3 different ones. Of course you can't put the same amount of money @10 than you put at @2.
  
• From my experience, the best odd-range is 1,8-2,2. That's mostly the range professional tipsters are using.
  
• Be carefull with multiple bets, it's okay to bet on 10 matches a small ammount of money to see if you get lucky, we all do that. But if you are betting bigger ammounts I wouldn't recommend more than 2-3 different bets.
  
• If you LOSE, you LOSE. You don't double the next bet to take back, you don't do stupid moves. You wait until the next opportunity.
  
• Whitdraw part of your benefits when they come.
  
• Get used to ASIAN LINES, specially those 0,25 / 0,75 since it's an amazing way to control the risk.
  
• Do your research before betting. You don't bet on a team to win just because they won the last three matches. Check the sidebar, check more statistics, check who is injury, check the line-ups if there are doubts about if some player will finally play. And really important, CHECK THE ODDS EVOLUTION, If Team 1 has won the last matches, playing good, appartently no injuries... and the odd has raised a lot the last hour ask yourself WHY. Before smiling because you may make more profit, think twice and do your research again because seems like someone knows something that you don't about this match. Specially if the odd has raised from @2 to @2.2 in 1 minute, because that means that someone has put a huge ammount of money there, and probably he knows more than you. Be aware of that specially on small markets (Non-important leagues). You can see the odd moves in oddsportal (check sidebar).
  
• Use a Betting house that don't limit you. I have been limited a lot of times, sometimes just after one bet, so please do yourself a favour. Pinnacle is an excelent option.
  
• There are not magic strategies to make money on betting.
  
• 115-120% ROI it's an amazing monthly mark to professional tipsters, be realistic about your profit forecast.
  
• Sign up in many betting houses. Check the odds and select the best one. Long-run makes huge difference.
  

1. BONUS HUNTING

• Strategy without risk, once you master it.

That's way so far the best betting method I have ever used. It takes time to Master but it's really simply an everybody can do it. I am sure you all have heard of that. Just in case you didn't do it yet, here's a basic guide:
Eg) Bet365 offers €100 to new Users if you deposit €100. (They also give a €50 phone-bonus with small requeriments). Of course you can not withdraw the money inmediatly. You have to move the money X times before that.
The requeriments for Bet365 in Spain are x4. So Bonus money + Deposit money x4. That makes 800 EUR. And the minimum odd is 1,5 and you CAN'T bet on Asian Lines.
What do I do now? Well, you just have to sign up in different betting houses and move the money. Or in other words, bet against yourself. You will need a Surebet software for that, you can easily find one on the Internet. In my case I use this one because it's pretty simple.
All the betting softwares work more or less the same way, they show:
-Profit: Bet between -1,5% +2,5%. AVOID betting at 45% surebets because that's a mistake from the bookies, they will change your odd after betting if you get lucky to place your bet before they notice of their mistake.
-Bookmarker: Here it will show up between which bookmarkers you have to place your bet. For example, you have now €200 in Bet365, and you just sign up on Pinnacle. Then you have to deposit money on Pinnacle and place the bet in both websites. Let's say Arsenal-Chelsea. Over 2,5 goals in Bet365 is @2 and Under 2,5 goals in Pinnacle is @2,03. No matter what happens that you will make 0,83% profit and you will have moved €200 of those €800 you have to move. Or even better than that, let's say the Final Score of the match is 1-1, so U2,5 goals. In that case you would have won your bet on Pinnacle, which means that you would have made aprox. €200 profit on Pinnacle and you would have lost €100 in Bet365 (Remember that from those €200 just €100 are yours, the rest is the bonus part). You have won €200 on Pinn, you have lost €100 on Bet. So totally you have made €100 in just one bet.
That's the best case, hunting the bonus in just one move. If the final score would have been 2-2, then you would have made your 0,83% profit and keep betting between Bet365 and other bookies until you would have moved the €800.
-Event: That's where you are going to bet. YOU NEVER BET ON SPORTS OR MARKETS BEFORE DOING RESEARCH.
Eg) Liverpool-Aston Villla
Over 3,5 cards @2
Under 3.5 cards @2
Seems like a good way to move your money. But you have to know that a red card in some BH is considered as 1 card and in some others is considered as 2 yellow cards.
Let's say there was 2 yellow cards and 1 red card: That would make 3 cards in one BH and 4 in another one. Imagine O3,5 was were the red cards count as one and U3,5 where red cards count as two. You would have lost all your money.
How do I know which ammount I have to bet on every case? Let's say you have found a nice 2,7% profit bet between two betting houses and you have a bonus in one of them. You will get the bonus and also the profit, that's a good one. This betting house offers a €100 bonus if you deposit the same amount. So now you would bet €200 in one side and X amount on the other side.
Let's say ManUtd vs Hull City:
MU Asian Handicap -0,5 @1,97 - Betting House 1 (You have the bonus here)
Hull City X2 @2,06 - Betting House 2
You would bet €200 @1,97 at BH 1 and €191,26 at BH2. Here's the link from one calculator I'm using (all work the same way).
THINGS YOU MUST KNOW:

• If you are hunting one bonus between two betting houses and you don't know which amount of money they will allow you to bet, you check the max. bet on the one that shows you the bet limits, and once you know that bet in the other BH first. or you could have troubles. If the Event is really big then you don't have to, but on small markets you must.
  
• Avoid Too-high profit surebets, Move your money between -1,5% and 3,4,5,7%.. maximum. You don't bet €200 at profit 56% because that's a bookie mistake and that's a really small market which will probably all you to bet no more than €25. If you get in there, the bookie most probably will send you a message saying that your odds has been changed. You will pay their mistake.
  
• You don't bet €200 anywhere, be carefull. If the bonus have high rolleover requirements such as move €1600 EUR, you don't move €400 in one bet. That's suspicious. Keep it simple, move €200 maximum and in normal events like Premier League Matches, La Liga, Serie A, FA Cup, UCL, EL, NBA, Main Basketball Leagues... that's ok. Remember to check always the limits before betting.
  
• Do RESEARCH BEFORE STARTING. Make a new Excel document, and write down all the betting houses you are going to hunt bonus from. Check their conditions, you are not interested on making €50 if you have to move €2000. That's a waste of your time. Also check all the payment methods, I recommend NetelleSkrill or PayPal, easier and faster. Write down all the documents you are going to need for the withdrawal. Check reviews from the betting houses, try to avoid the new ones, let them settle down first.
  

You can only hunt the bonus ONCE per person which means that If you want to continue doing this method you will have to find more people who wants to do it. That's what I have done, friends of mine gave me the documents I needed + PayPal/NetelleSkrill verified account and I do it for them. Of course I pay them around €100-€150. Which is not bad money for them considering they have to do nothing almost. Is it hard to find people? Well, I have 6 on the line right now, everybody wants money for free specially if they are students.
How much money do I need for getting started? I would say around €500. So you can sign up for a €100 Bonus depositing €200 in another house and you still have some extra-money just in case you win all your bets on the 'Bonus Betting House' and you haven't moved enough money to make the withdrawal yet. Once you start making money you can do this method for more than one person at the same time.
How much money can I make? Depends on the betting houses available in your country and the number of persons you are doing at once. UK is the best one so far (more BH, more offers) Spain is pretty good also. You have to do your own research for your country.
2. ARBITRAGE BETTING That's what you use for hunting the bonus - moving money between two betting houses without risk because you have placed bets on all the possible options -. You can do it independently. If your country has acces to betting houses where you don't get limit you can move money between them at high profit ranges.
Eg) Valencia-Sevilla.
BBTS YES @2,3 - Betting House 1
BBTS NO @1,97 - Betting House 2
There is a 6,85% profit on this Bet. Which is amazing. Now you could place a €2000 bet. For example betting €1032,72 on option 1 and €1205,69 in option two you would make €136,82 no matter what happens.
What is the problem with this method?

• You need to bet big to win big.
  
• You would get limited in most of the betting houses after that.
  
• This only works on big markets, you can't put this amounts in a Sweden 3rd Division match.
  
• If they cancel the match in one side but not in the other one and your bet wins in the side that has canceled your match... Well.. (Have to say this has never happened to me and it's really weird to happen on big matches).
  

3. TRADING I have done Betting Trading for a while, you can do it WHILE the match is being played or before that. What is the method about? It's about trying to figure out what the odds of one match are going to do before they do. Obviously you need to have strong information about the match you want to bet on.
*Eg) Based on this week. Dortmund-Real Madrid. Dortmund to win opening odd was @2,78 (15th September). The odd right before the match for the same bet was @2,23. WHY? Well, because something has happened between these time. Real Madrid couldn't win Las Palmas the 24th + some injuries + Cristian Ronaldo haven't done his best. And Dortmund won Wolfsburf 1-5 and Freiburg 3-1 in 3 days.
Now let's see somehow you could have seen that Real Madrid would have trouble in Las Palmas stadium and Dortmund would continue winning on Bundesliga.
Let's say you placed a €1000 bet on Dortmund to win @2,78 (day when the bookies offered the match). Then you waited and right before the match was started you bet €1588 on Real Madrid +0,5 @1,75.
You would have made €191,43 and the match would't have even started.*
Check it yourself here
Of course this a risky-long term example, but you can do it before and after the lines-ups. If you think some player won't play because you have strong information about that, place your bet, wait for the odd to raise up and close the bet on the other side aftertwards.
Does anyone really make money this way? Yes. Let's say you know a professional tipster with a lot of subscribers. When this guy shows the next bet a lot of people who have payed for that service will bet there, and usually big amounts of money. If you somehow know where the influential-tipster is going to bet before he posts it to his subscriptors you have your business done. Open bet, wait for the odd to go down, close bet other side.
What does people who doesn't have access to this kind of information (mostly everybody)?. They do big research, check a lot of pages, be documented as posible. If you find something really good some or later the odd will drop. But it's hard to find.
Where to do trading? Pinnacle doesn't limit, that's why most of people uses that BH. Also betfair is an excelent option for this kind of methods.
Good luck with your betting!

Back by popular demand (thanks for your kind comments on my last post), here are Clarkson's most recent Sunday Times columns: his non-automotive opinion piece and his weekly car review. Enjoy!
Hey, Tories, you can't bleed all the rich like Corbyn would, so try a vulgarity tax (Jan. 06)
Look, there's no point beating about the bush, so I'll get straight to the point. Theresa May is hopeless. She talks like a robot when she has a script and like a nervous three-year-old when she hasn't. She laughs like a penguin. She enjoys rambling. She admits the naughtiest thing she did was run through a field of wheat. She talks French like she's joking. And when someone suggested she should dance onto the party conference stage to the accompaniment of Abba, she said: "What a good idea." Which it wasn't.
Small wonder she's failed so spectacularly to secure any kind of Brexit deal. Because how can you negotiate with a room full of antagonists when all you can say is "Strong and stable", and you've arrived at the table like a sort of wooden John Travolta.
The worst thing about her, though, is that she plainly has no vision of what she'd like Britain to be like. Margaret Thatcher had a vision. Tony Blair had a vision. Jeremy Corbyn has a vision. But Mrs May? She knows she can't have what she wants, which is Enid Blyton and red telephone boxes, and Bernard Cribbins running the railway station, but she has no clue what would work instead.
Furthermore, I see no one in the Tory party who's any better. There's Boris Johnson, of course, but he has only two things on his mind: Boris Johnson and the rather attractive filly who works in the Commons bar. And the rest? It's like looking into a tin of minestrone soup.
I was speaking about this with some Conservative friends of mine recently and everyone agreed that the party needs a goal to aim at. Corbyn has "For the many, not the few", and that works very well. It resonates with voters. And it informs his decision makers on the direction they need to be travelling.
But the Tories? I know they're all transfixed by Brexit, but when that's over, they need something more than "Well, we're better than Corbyn". I agree with that. I'd rather put my dog into No 10 than him. But not everyone thinks the same way.
The problem is big. The Conservatives have always championed aspiration. It's seen as a good thing, to strive for a bit of G Plan furniture, a better Ford Mondeo and your council house. But that was in a time when wealth was a very different animal from what it's become today.
When I was growing up I knew about Howard Hughes but he didn't seem real. He was just a madman who lived in the dark and only drank milk. I also knew there were some titled people who lived in extremely large stately homes. But they didn't look very rich to me. Most had 200-year-old jackets and jumpers with holes in them.
I knew only two rich people. Both were local farmers. One had a trout lake in his garden and one had his own swimming pool. And while these things were fantastically luxurious they didn't seem to be impossible goals. Whereas today we regularly read about and see people whose wealth is so huge it seems to be unachievable.
Off every beach at every holiday destination you see boats with helicopters at the front and pools full of Victoria's Secret models at the back. At every airport there's a zone for private jets that are bigger than the plane you and a hundred others arrived in. And in every newspaper there's another young woman with £25,000 breasts, snuggled into the arms of a man whose watch is bigger than your washing machine.
I'm currently hosting Who Wants To Be a Millionaire? on ITV. And not that long ago a million would buy you something with pillars and a flower room. Now, though, it's barely enough to get you a one-bedroom flat in Fulham.
If you google Rich Kids of Instagram you'll find a site where youngsters are encouraged to post pictures of themselves literally bathing in actual cash. And when you see that sort of thing, you become very inclined to vote for Corbyn and his much talked about wealth tax.
Wealth taxes don't work. History has taught us that. But I can see how they might have some appeal when you're living in a high-rise with five grown-up kids who can't afford to move away, and you're reading about people whose newly built Caribbean holiday house is so vast it affected the world price of teak.
Even I saw red the other day when I met someone who'd just sold his business for £20m. He was down in the dumps because "in this day and age, anything less than 200 mill is seen as a failure. Jeff Bezos makes that in a day."
Comfortable is no longer seen as a goal worth striving for. You don't want a chain of dry cleaners across the northwest. Because on the monetary scale of evolution that makes you a worm. So you may as well vote for Corbyn because he will use rich people's money to pay you to do nothing.
The trouble is he can't target only the non-doms and billionaires because they'll just live in one of their other houses somewhere else. So he has to go after the ordinary rich, which in his weird head is anyone with a house. Certainly anyone with a bit of money left at the end of the month will have it taken away by his Stasi.
I therefore have an idea that I offer to the Conservatives: a vulgarity tax.
It's very simple. If you live like that woman who runs Bet365 — quietly, diligently and with a philanthropic heart — you will be fine. If, however, you choose to live like Paul Pogba, turning up at nightclubs in a diamond-encrusted Rolls-Royce, then Tommy Taxman is going to come round with a crowbar.
I realise this is bad news for Rolex, Chanel and the people of Cheshire. But it's good news for the soul of the nation. It will also completely undermine Corbyn. And that's more important.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Close encounter of the luxurious kind: The Clarkson Review: Bentley Mulsanne (Jan. 06)
When Sir Attenborough tells us about an interesting male snail he's found under a rock in Indonesia, he always says the snail in question likes to spend its afternoons sunbathing and its evenings having sex with other men snails. And I always think he's being a bit judgmental. Because it might be only the snail his film crew found that does this. All the others could be like James Hunt.
Think about it. If an outer-space Attenborough came to Earth and made a documentary about humans for the folks back home, we'd be a bit miffed if he said we all had terrible hair and liked to kill our rivals with anti-aircraft guns. Because that's Kim Jong-un and not you or me or Mrs Miggins who runs the post office.
I was recording a new series of Who Wants to Be a Millionaire? the other day, and in one show there was a plump and jolly vicar lady and someone who looked as if he belonged in an arts cafe on the Left Bank in Paris in 1962. Both were human. Both lived on the same funny little rock in the north Atlantic. And both had similar interests: going on quiz shows.
But they were completely different. And you should bear that in mind the next time His Attenboroughness tells you all male six-plumed birds of paradise can disco dance. That'd be like an alien film team happening upon Theresa May and telling its viewers that all humans can't.
This brings me neatly on to cars.
According to the dictionary, a car is a road vehicle, typically with four wheels, that's able to carry a small number of people. The new Suzuki Swift, then, is a car. And so is the new long-wheelbase Bentley Mulsanne. But that doesn't mean they're the same, because, ooh, they really aren't.
Who Wants to Be a Millionaire? is filmed in Manchester, which is far enough from England to make the train seem a no-brainer. Yes, there is diphtheria in the lavatories, and you often find yourself sitting next to a Scottish person who's building a pyramid from recently emptied cans of McEwan's lager. But it's comfortable and so fast that by the time you've wondered why we need HS2, you're there.
The car, meanwhile, has to go on the M40, which is shut because the highway wombles need to retrieve someone's detached door mirror, and the M42, which is jammed by people fleeing the horror of Birmingham, and the M6 toll road, which then deposits you on the M6, which is also shut because someone has had a puncture and the wombles need to have a nap while waiting for a trained mechanic to arrive to change the wheel. Also, on the M6, it is always raining.
Using a car, therefore, to get from England to Manchester is stupid if the car is a Swift. But if the car in question is the other bookend, the aforementioned long-wheelbase Mulsanne, it's a different story.
To drive? Not important, because someone else does that. Your job in a car such as this is to sit in the back, where there is so much legroom that even I could not touch the front seat with my feet. Not even if I flattened my ridiculously soft seat into what most airlines would call a bed.
That's how it feels back there: like being in one of those suites Emirates has at the front of an Airbus A380. In between the two rear seats in this options-heavy version of the Mulsanne is a fridge with a frosted glass door that slides down at the touch of a button to reveal two bottles of rosé and four glasses.
Further forwards, there's a cubbyhole containing two fold-out tables, in case you don't want to use the table that's 14ft in front of you on the back of the front seat. Then you've got various USB sockets and about a million buttons. Some let you choose what sort of massage you'd like and what television station you'd like to watch. Some are used to close the curtains — something you'll want to do if a van driver in the next lane is looking at you. And the others? Not sure. I didn't dare press them in case I ejected my driver through the sunroof.
Now, electrically operated gadgets are all very well, but luxury cannot be measured by rheostats. It can't really be measured at all, in fact. It's a feeling. And it has to do with intangibles such as space and light. And, in a car, comfort.
Again, the Bentley scores full marks. It doesn't glide. You're always aware that you're in a car that is on a road, but you're never really aware that the road was built and then maintained by people who just wanted to go to the pub. Let me put it this way: it's just about as comfortable as it's possible for a car to be.
It also feels strong. There's a sense that you could have a head-on with an articulated lorry and, from the back seat, not know about it until you got a newsflash on your phone. Maybe this solidity, this sense of weight, is one of the reasons it rides so well: it simply irons out the bumps.
I was told by the man driving it that the size of the thing is a bit of a nuisance in supermarket car parks, but I can't imagine this would be an issue at any point. The same goes for its fuel usage. And its performance, which is considerable, I'm sure, but entirely irrelevant.
The Mulsanne's 6.75-litre V8, indeed, has been around longer than me. It is one of the oldest units in production, basically unchanged since 1959. I'd love to tell you this is a bad thing, but since I never heard it or felt it, I actually think it isn't a thing at all.
The last time I came back to England from Manchester I used a helicopter. It was noisy and unexciting, and we flew over nothing of interest. Yes, it was fast, but, and I'm not joking, I'd rather set off earlier in the Mulsanne.
And that would apply for almost any journey against any competition. A private jet to the south of France? Yes, but you have to get to Farnborough and then sit in a room full of bores reading magazines packed with watch ads until it's time to get on your plane, where you drink champagne from a screwtop bottle and eat curled-up cheese sandwiches. Better to leave the day before and be driven there in the Mulsanne.
It's a lovely place to sit, a lovely place to be, a lovely way to travel and a lovely piece of engineering hidden behind a lovely veneer of craftsmanship. If a space-alien documentary maker encountered the Mulsanne on a fact-finding mission to Earth, he would deduce that humans travel around in great comfort and almost total silence. If only he were right. If only all cars were this epic.
Yes, it's not very good-looking. You might even call it gopping. But consider this: its only real rival is the Rolls-Royce Phantom. And that looks even worse.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
And finally, here's Clarkson's Sun column: "Space isn’t the final frontier for scientists — it’s an ideal theme park ride"

RULES:

• The thread for to post your previews will be live on Fridays. The post-match review of the bets will be done Sundays. The sign-up thread will be posted on Tuesdays.
  
• Please have your previews posted by lunch-time Saturday. This should give other people enough time to check the thread and check the tips.
  
• Please format your previews something similar to this
  
• When you post your selection, please confirm if you're advising to Win, Place, E/W, Forecast, whatever, how many points to stake (this is generally done in 0.5, 1, 1.5, 2 and 3 points, but it's up to your discretion), and what odds to take and with which betting firm or if you're taking the SP.
  

SATURDAY 26th NOV CHANNEL 4 CARD - RACES STILL AVAILABLE:

• Newbury 13:30 Sir Peter O'Sullevan Memorial Handicap Chase (4yo+, Class 3, 2m 6f 93y)
  
• Newbury 14:05 bet365 Handicap Hurdle (4yo+, Class 2, 2m 4f 118y)
  
• Newbury 14:40 bet365 Intermediate Hurdle (Listed Limited Handicap) (Registered As The Gerry Fielden Hurdle) (4yo+, Class 1, 2m 69y) -- taken by AirIndex
  
• Newcastle 14:55 StanJames.com Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+, Class 1, 2m 98y) -- taken by Moneycantbuyustones
  
• Newbury 15:10 Hennessy Gold Cup Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) (4yo+, Class 1, 3m 1f 214y) -- taken by StiffyAllDay
  
• Newcastle 15:30 At The Races Rehearsal Handicap Chase (Listed) (4yo+, Class 1, 2m 7f 91y)
  
• Newbury 15:45 bet365 Handicap Chase (4yo+, Class 2, 2m 92y)
  

Please have your tips online before midday Saturday. If you want to include tips for any additional races, please feel free. Good luck and have fun!

Hi all,
As mentioned before, we will be doing an update of our sidebar and adding more information regarding betting on soccer. We often get questions regarding which bookies to use. For that, we are creating this thread and will be creating a list with some of the most popular bookies. Are they always the best bookies? Not always, but they are usually more beginner-friendly, which is what we are looking for. This thread will be added on the sidebar once we update it.
What do we want from you guys? Share your experience and reviews! The best way to get to know a bookie is to hear from other users. Just comment what bookie you use and what you think of them.
Bet365
Bet365 is one of the biggest bookies in the gambling industry. Odds are available in three formats: Decimal (European), Fraction (UK) and American (US). They have a huge coverage of the major football leagues, as well as several American sports. You are also possible to cash out a parlay/accumulator, which is not always possible at other bookies. Thread with users discussing Bet365
Betfair
Betfair is a bookie from the United Kingdom and offers the possibility of betting on 22 different sports. They usually offer cashing out paylays/accumulators as well. The bookie is not available in all countries. If you are into match/lay betting, this may be a good choice.
Unibet
One of the most known bookies in Europe, as it is available in many countries. For the most popular games, the markets can be pretty large. They also offer betting on some more unknown leagues and even live betting on some of them. However, cashing out parlays/accumulators is not possible. Cashing out singles is only possible on live bets and if the market is still open.
PaddyPower
The biggest and most successful bookmaker in Ireland and pretty popular in the United Kingdom. If you like innovative and silly bets, this may be a solid choice. They put a lot of effort in customer service and money-back specials, giving the customers a better experience.
Ladbrokes
The largest bookmaker in the United Kingdom. Ladbrokes offers many special bets and are pretty known to getting big punters. They have several betting facilities at FA Premiership grounds, meaning they are pretty solid for betting on the Premier League.
Pinnacle
If you are looking for a website with high odds, Pinnacle is a solid choice. Also Marathonbet offers some quite high odds, but their interface may be difficult to use.
SkyBet
Decent bookie, offers live betting and live cashing out. They have a decent interface, which allows you to learn the site quickly
Feel free to share your opinions and if there is any bookie that has to be added to the list, just mention it.

RULES:

• The thread for to post your previews will be live on Fridays. The post-match review of the bets will be done Sundays. The sign-up thread will be posted on Tuesdays.
  
• Please have your previews posted by lunch-time Saturday. This should give other people enough time to check the thread and check the tips.
  
• Please format your previews something similar to this
  
• When you post your selection, please confirm if you're advising to Win, Place, E/W, Forecast, whatever, how many points to stake (this is generally done in 0.5, 1, 1.5, 2 and 3 points, but it's up to your discretion), and what odds to take and with which betting firm or if you're taking the SP.
  

 
SATURDAY 10th DEC CHANNEL 4 CARD - ONE RACE STILL AVAILABLE:

• Caspian Caviar Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (4yo+, Class 1, 2m 4f 166y) - taken by AirIndex
  
• Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (registered As The Bristol Novices' Hurdle) (4yo+, Class 1, 2m 7f 213y) - taken by docdaneeeka
  
• Bet365 December Novices' Chase (Grade 2) (4yo+, Class 1, 2m 7f 214y - taken by srodgers32
  
• stanjames.com International Hurdle (Grade 2) (4yo+, Class 1, 2m 179y
  
• Bet365 Summit Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) (3yo, Class 1, 2m 128y - taken by smithmustscore
  
• OLBG Mares' Handicap Hurdle (4yo+, Class 2, 2m 4f 56y) - taken by KlassixKAOS
  
• SUNDAY- John Durkan Memorial Punchestown Chase (grade 1) (5yo+, 2m 4f) - taken by Moneycantbuyustones
  

 
Good luck and have fun!

RULES:

• The thread to post your previews will be live on Friday. The post-match review of the bets will be done by Sunday. The next sign-up thread will also be posted on Wednesday (if the ITV card has been confirmed by then).
  
• Please have your previews posted by lunch-time Saturday. This should give other people enough time to check the thread and check the tips.
  
• Please format your previews something similar to this.
  
• When you post your selection, please confirm if you're advising to Win, Place, E/W, Forecast, whatever, how many points to stake (this is generally done in 0.5, 1, 1.5, 2 and 3 points, but it's up to your discretion), and what odds to take and with which betting firm or if you're taking the SP.
  

 
SATURDAY 21st JAN ITV4 CARD:

• 13:50 Ascot - OLBG.com Mares' Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Warfield) - taken by PadsTheFish
  
• 14:05 Haydock - Sky Bet Supreme Trial Rossington Main Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) - taken by smithmustscore
  
• 14:25 Ascot - Keltbray Holloway's Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3)
  
• 14:40 Haydock - Stanjames.com Champion Hurdle Trial Hurdle - taken by threeleggedspringer
  
• 15:00 Ascot - Berkshire Community Foundation Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) - taken by StiffyAllDay
  
• 15:15 Haydock - Peter Marsh Handicap Chase (Grade 2) - taken by docdaneeeka
  
• 15:35 Ascot - bet365 Handicap Chase
   
  

If we have more interest than the amount of races, we’ll look at other races to be previewed. And if you want to include a tip for another race not listed, please feel free. Results so far can be viewed here.
Good luck and have fun!

RULES:

• The thread to post your previews will be live on Friday. The post-match review of the bets will be done by Sunday. The next sign-up thread will also be posted on Wednesday (if the ITV card has been confirmed by then).
  
• Please have your previews posted by lunch-time Saturday. This should give other people enough time to check the thread and check the tips.
  
• Please format your previews something similar to this.
  
• When you post your selection, please confirm if you're advising to Win, Place, E/W, Forecast, whatever, how many points to stake (this is generally done in 0.5, 1, 1.5, 2 and 3 points, but it's up to your discretion), and what odds to take and with which betting firm or if you're taking the SP.
  

 
SATURDAY 4th FEB ITV4 CARD:

• 13:50 Sandown - The Betfred Contenders Hurdle Race (Listed Race), 1m 7f
  
• 14:05 Musselburgh - The Edinburgh National Handicap Steeple Chase, 1m 7f - taken by smithmustscore
  
• 14:25 Sandown - The Betfred TV Scilly Isles Novices’ Steeple Chase, 2m 4f / Grade 1 - taken by docdaneeeka
  
• 14:45 Wetherby - The Totepool Towton Novices’ Steeple Chase, 3m / Grade 2 - taken by Lord_summerisle
  
• 15:00 Sandown - The Betfred Mobile Heroes Handicap Hurdle Race, 2m 7f / Grade 3 - taken by AirIndex
  
• 15:15 Musselburgh - The Scottish County Hurdle (A Handicap), 1m 7f
  
• 15:35 Sandown - The Betfred Masters Handicap Steeple Chase, 3m
  

 
If we have more interest than the amount of races, we’ll look at other races to be previewed. And if you want to include a tip for another race not listed, please feel free.
Results so far can be viewed here.
Good luck and have fun!

RULES:

• The thread to post your previews will be live on Friday. The post-match review of the bets will be done by Sunday. The next sign-up thread will also be posted on Wednesday (if the ITV card has been confirmed by then).
  
• Please have your previews posted by lunch-time Saturday. This should give other people enough time to check the thread and check the tips.
  
• Please format your previews something similar to this.
  
• When you post your selection, please confirm if you're advising to Win, Place, E/W, Forecast, whatever, how many points to stake (this is generally done in 0.5, 1, 1.5, 2 and 3 points, but it's up to your discretion), and what odds to take and with which betting firm or if you're taking the SP.
  

 
SATURDAY 21st JAN ITV4 CARD:

• 13:50 Ascot - OLBG.com Mares' Hurdle (Grade 2) (Registered As The Warfield) - taken by PadsTheFish
  
• 14:05 Haydock - Sky Bet Supreme Trial Rossington Main Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) - taken by smithmustscore
  
• 14:25 Ascot - Keltbray Holloway's Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3)
  
• 14:40 Haydock - Stanjames.com Champion Hurdle Trial Hurdle - taken by threeleggedspringer
  
• 15:00 Ascot - Berkshire Community Foundation Clarence House Chase (Grade 1) - taken by StiffyAllDay
  
• 15:15 Haydock - Peter Marsh Handicap Chase (Grade 2) - taken by docdaneeeka
  
• 15:35 Ascot - bet365 Handicap Chase
   
  

If we have more interest than the amount of races, we’ll look at other races to be previewed. And if you want to include a tip for another race not listed, please feel free. Results so far can be viewed here.
Good luck and have fun!

As per this thread, this is the first sign-up thread for our weekly Reddit Tipster Club!
I've listed the races from this Saturday's Channel 4 card below. We will allocate them based on a 'first come, first serve' basis. If anyone can think of a fairer way let me know. If we get more interest than the number of televised races we will look at other races for the users to analyse.
RULES:

• The thread for to post your previews will be live on Fridays. The post-match review of the bets will be done Sundays. The sign-up thread will be posted on Tuesdays.
  
• Please have your previews posted by lunch-time Saturday. This should give other people enough time to check the thread and check the tips.
  
• Please format your previews something similar to this
  
• When you post your selection, please confirm if you're advising to Win, Place, E/W, Forecast, whatever, how many points to stake (this is generally done in 0.5, 1, 1.5, 2 and 3 points, but it's up to your discretion), and what odds to take and with which betting firm or if you're taking the SP.
  

SATURDAY 26th NOV CHANNEL 4 CARD:

• Newbury 13:30 Sir Peter O'Sullevan Memorial Handicap Chase (4yo+, Class 3, 2m 6f 93y)
  
• Newbury 14:05 bet365 Handicap Hurdle (4yo+, Class 2, 2m 4f 118y)
  
• Newbury 14:40 bet365 Intermediate Hurdle (Listed Limited Handicap) (Registered As The Gerry Fielden Hurdle) (4yo+, Class 1, 2m 69y) -- taken by AirIndex
  
• Newcastle 14:55 StanJames.com Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+, Class 1, 2m 98y) -- taken by Moneycantbuyustones
  
• Newbury 15:10 Hennessy Gold Cup Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) (4yo+, Class 1, 3m 1f 214y) -- taken by StiffyAllDay
  
• Newcastle 15:30 At The Races Rehearsal Handicap Chase (Listed) (4yo+, Class 1, 2m 7f 91y)
  
• Newbury 15:45 bet365 Handicap Chase (4yo+, Class 2, 2m 92y)
  

Good luck and have fun!

I've listed the races from this Saturday's Channel 4 card below. We will allocate them based on a "first come, first serve" basis. If anyone can think of a fairer way let me know. If we get more interest than the number of televised races we will look at other races for the users to analyse. If you want to include tips for other races, please feel free.
 
RULES:

• The thread for to post your previews will be live on Fridays. The post-match review of the bets will be done Sundays. The sign-up thread will be posted on Tuesdays.
  
• Please have your previews posted by lunch-time Saturday. This should give other people enough time to check the thread and check the tips.
  
• Please format your previews something similar to this
  
• When you post your selection, please confirm if you're advising to Win, Place, E/W, Forecast, whatever, how many points to stake (this is generally done in 0.5, 1, 1.5, 2 and 3 points, but it's up to your discretion), and what odds to take and with which betting firm or if you're taking the SP.
  

 
SATURDAY 10th DEC CHANNEL 4 CARD:

• Caspian Caviar Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (4yo+, Class 1, 2m 4f 166y) - taken by AirIndex
  
• Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (registered As The Bristol Novices' Hurdle) (4yo+, Class 1, 2m 7f 213y) - taken by docdaneeka
  
• Bet365 December Novices' Chase (Grade 2) (4yo+, Class 1, 2m 7f 214y - taken by srodgers32
  
• stanjames.com International Hurdle (Grade 2) (4yo+, Class 1, 2m 179y
  
• Bet365 Summit Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) (3yo, Class 1, 2m 128y - taken by smithmustscore
  
• OLBG Mares' Handicap Hurdle (4yo+, Class 2, 2m 4f 56y) - taken by KlassixKAOS
  
• SUNDAY- John Durkan Memorial Punchestown Chase (grade 1) (5yo+, 2m 4f) - taken by Moneycantbuyustones
  

 
There are only six televised races on Saturday. If we get more than six people interested, users thereafter can pick a race from Saturday (or Sunday, if anyone wants to take on the John Durkan Memorial) for them to analyse.
 
We had a good week last week. Let's see if we can keep this up! Results so far can be viewed here.
 
Good luck and have fun!

Hey beermoneyukers!
After years working in my 9-5 job as a website developer for a large corporation I decided I could not face selling my soul any longer lols and packed in my job.
Since then, I had a stint working as a freelancer whilst also making a healthy side income via matched betting. And over the past 9 months I’ve been building a website that teaches people how to do the same.
There are a lot of websites out there that teach matched betting, but most require a monthly subscription and most have long articles that can be a bit dry and hard to follow.
So instead, I built a website, Team Profit, that:
  Is completely free
  Uses animated video guides to teach people (link)
  Has infographics to accompany all video guides
  Provides step by step guides for 25+ bookmaker offer which will make you £600+ risk free (link)
I have amended the video script over 50 times to try to make it as concise and helpful as possible, hopefully they are a good watch!
Any feedback on the videos, guides, blog or anything else, please let me know, I spend every day adding new content and improving existing content.
If you are thinking of learning matched betting and making £600+ risk free, please check it out!
www.teamprofit.com
 
MEGA FAQs GUIDE TO MATCHED BETTING
 
The video guides I posted above will teach you everything about matched betting.
However, I figure no harm in me writing down everything I know about matched betting in an FAQ style layout. Hopefully this will be useful to you.
I have tried to answer every question as concise as possible / no rambling :D
I have split the FAQs into the following sections:
 
INTRODUCTION
1) What exactly is matched betting and how I do make money risk free?
2) How popular is matched betting?
3) Does it involve gambling?
4) How much money will I need to start?
5) How much time will it take me to learn matched betting?
 
OFFERS & YOUR PROFIT
1) How much money can I make matched betting from the welcome offers (new customer only)?
2) How much is a free bet worth in actual cash profit?
3) After I have finished the Welcome Offers, how much money can I make matched betting each month from Daily Offers (existing customer offers)?
4) What type of Daily Offers are available?
 
BOOKMAKERS AND BETTING EXCHANGES
1) Which bookmakers have the best welcome offers?
2) Which bookmakers have the best offers for existing customers?
3) What is mug betting?
4) What is a betting exchange?
5) How do we use a betting exchange?
 
ADDRESSING COMMON CONCERNS
1) How sustainable is matched betting?
2) Will it impact my credit rating?
3) Do the bookmakers have terms to stop customers from withdrawing?
4) Do I need to know about sports?
 
WHICH WEBSITES TEACH MATCHED BETTING - YOUR OPTIONS
1) Where can you learn matched betting?
 
ADDITIONAL FAQS
1) Depositing and withdrawing
2) Sending identification documents
Any questions that haven’t been answered please add a comment and I’ll add the FAQ and answer.
 
INTRODUCTION
 
1) What exactly is matched betting and how I do make money risk free?
There are more than 25 online bookmakers in the UK. In order to attract new customers, they each offer free bets, known as ‘Welcome Offers’.
In total they offer over £800 in free bets to new customers.
In order to receive the free bet, bookmakers require you to place your first bet. An example offer is ‘Bet £5, Get £20 free bet’.
The risk is that you could lose both the £5 bet (your own cash) and the £20 free bet.
By using a technique called matched betting, we remove this risk.
This is because we match our first £5 bet on the bookmaker with a £5 bet on a betting exchange on the opposite outcome (this is known as a ‘lay bet’).
For example, we bet £5 on Man Utd to win on the bookmaker, and £5 on Man Utd not to win on the betting exchange.
As we have now bet on all outcomes, regardless of whether Man Utd win, draw or lose, we will neither win nor lose money. However, we have received the £20 free bet!
With the £20 free bet, we can now repeat this process by betting on say Liverpool to win on the bookmaker and Liverpool not to win.
This time, because we are using a £20 free bet but our winnings are paid out in cash, we will always make a profit.
We repeat this process for 25+ bookmakers, one by one. In total we can convert the £800+ in free bets to over £600+ in actual cash profit, in very little time at all.
 
2) How popular is matched betting?
Matched betting isn’t new and has been around since at least 2005.
However, it is only since 2015 that it has really increased in popularity due to the rise of websites teaching matched betting. You can see this trend here: Google Trends Link
By looking at the various matched betting sites popularity, a reasonable estimate is at least 25,000 people in the UK are matched betters. You can see a review of sites that teach matched betting in the ‘Which websites teach matched betting?’ section below.
 
3) Does it involving gambling?
This is the most common assumption with matched betting. You’d be forgiven for thinking that it did involve gambling simply because the name ‘matched betting’ would suggest it did.
However, matched betting does not involve gambling, you will never be risking a penny.
Because we are always covering the opposite outcome occurring, there is never any risk we will lose money. Furthermore, we still receive the free bets which we will where we make our profit.
The profitability and risk free nature of matched betting has been reviewed in the Daily Telegraph and the Guardian
 
4) How much will I need to start?
You can start with as little as you want, however the lowest I would recommend starting with would be £25.
With £25, you can start your first bookmaker welcome offer and make a deposit into your first betting exchange, meaning you can start making a profit.
For more details, see this Starting with £25 guide.
The downside, with only £25 you are restricted by having to wait for withdrawals before you can move onto the next offer.
Therefore, I would say an optimal amount to have available for your cash flow would be in the region of £200 as this allows you to complete multiple welcome offers simultaneously.
 
5) How long will it take me to learn matched betting?
To learn the principles of matched betting, it will take up to 20 minutes.
To become familiar with completing your first offer, I would set aside another 30-60 minutes so you can take your time and ensure you are completing it correctly.
For example, the video guides on Team Profit last a total of 21 minutes (8 minutes for the explainers videos and 13 minutes to watch the step-by-step real time example). Although they last just 21 minutes, some users watch certain parts of the video again to become comfortable with the process.
It is very much recommended to avoid trying to learn matched betting by yourself. There are thousands of experienced matched betters who can help you. For more details on this, see the ‘Which Websites Teach Matched Betting’ section.
If you need any help anytime, please do comment in this Reddit thread and I’ll help you out.
 
OFFERS
 
1)How much money can I make matched betting from the welcome offers (new customer only)?
From the welcome offer, you can make approximately £1,000 cash profit.
There are 25+ bookmaker offers available on sports for at least £600 profit. These are relatively straightforward offers and good value in terms of time to complete. It would take around 12 hours to complete these offers, which works around £40 / hour tax free. You can complete them over any time period you like.
There are at least another 5 bookmaker offers, such as Bet365 and BetVictor, though these require more time, you could make around £100 to £200. They require more time because the bookmaker requires you to bet many more times before you can withdraw.
Plus 20+ offers across casino and bingo, though some are not risk free and typically take more time to complete, but you should be able to make at least £200 profit from these offers.
So overall, there is an easy £600 profit risk free, then up to another £400 if it’s worth your time to do them.
 
2) How much is a free bet worth in actual cash profit?
A £10 free bet is worth between £5 to £8 in actual cash profit.
The reason for the range is because the higher odds you choose for your free bet, the more actual cash profit you will make.
For example, if you bet on a football team with odds of 2.0, the £10 free bet will convert to around £5 cash profit. Whereas if you bet on a football team that is unlikely to win, with odds of say 6.0, the £10 free bet will convert to around £8 cash profit.
Note though, the higher odds you choose, the more you will need in your betting exchange account in case the bet wins. For a detailed explanation with examples, read this free bet profit article.
 
3) After I have finished the Welcome Offers, how much money can I make matched betting each month (from existing customer offers)?
Anywhere from £100 to £1,000+ per month.
Bookmakers continue to run free bet offers to retain their customers, I refer to these as Daily Offers.
Daily Offers are typically less valuable than the welcome offers but still worth completing.
For example, rather than ‘Bet £5 Get £20’ that they offer to new customers, they may instead run ‘Bet £20 Get £10’ and on a particular football match.
I would say for people with a day job, aiming for between £300 to £500 a month is realistic. In terms of time required, for every hour you spend, you should make around £30 tax free.
So to make £300 a month, expect to spend around 2-3 hours a week. I’d say to earn more than this, you will likely need to accept a lower hourly rate and do some of the low value offers too.
If you are looking to make £1,000+, I’d expect you would have to be near full time and also be fortunate to keep your enough of your bookmaker accounts open for 12+ month period (what is mugging bet FAQ below).
 
4) What type of offers are available for existing customers?
 
Easy offers:
The most common easy offer on football matches is Bet £20 Get £10 free bet. Many bookmakers run this offer, though it will usually be on a particular football match.
The most common easy offer on horse racing is usually on SkyBet, who will run simple offers such as ‘Get £25 free bet if your horse comes 2nd or 3rd’.
There are also easy casino offers, such as ‘£5 risk free’, where you spin on slots and hope to win, if you don’t they’ll refund up to £5 of losses.
These offers can make you up to £300 per month (or £500 on a good month with European football) and are easy for those with a day job.
 
Harder offers:
If you are looking to make more than £300 to £500 a month, then you will need to spend time on Saturday’s completing horse racing offers on Channel 4 racing and during the week too, though Saturday’s are the most profitable.
Plus you will need to do more advanced offers such as football accumulator refunds, each way offers, though I will leave these aside given they could have their own separate thread :p
If you’d like to understand where you can learn more about these offers, see ‘Which sites teach matched betting?’ FAQ below.
 
BOOKMAKERS AND BETTING EXCHANGE
 
1) Which bookmakers have the best welcome offers?
 
There are 3 formats of bookmakers welcome offers.
 
‘Bet £X Get £Y free bet’ - these are the most straightforward. Simply place your first bet and receive a free bet.
This format of welcome offer, ranging from Bet £5 Get £20 to Bet £50 Get £50, is available on Coral, SkyBet, BetBright, Betfred, Paddy Power, BetStars, William Hill, Stan James, Betway, Ladbrokes, TitanBet, 32Red and MarathonBet.
 
‘Refunds’ (also known as Risk Free offers) - these are similar to Bet £X Get £Y free bet. The only difference is you only receive your free bet if your first bet loses, hence I refer to these offers are refund offers.
This format of welcome offer is, ranging from £10 to £50 refunds, is available on Bwin, Dafabet, UniBet, Totesport, 188Bet, SuperLenny, Genting and 888Sport.
 
‘Multi Bets’ - these welcome offers require multiple bets to be placed before receiving your reward. It can take form of a bonus which requires to bet £X amount until you can withdraw any winnings, or the form of a cash reward once you have bet £X amount.
This format of welcome offer is available on Bet365, BetVictor and some other bookmakers, however they often require such a large amount of betting that I haven’t included them in this list.
The quickest to complete are the Bet £X Get £Y due to their simplicity, then the next best are the ‘Refunds’ offers.
The Multi Bet offers can be very valuable (e.g. Bet£365’s offer is worth over £150 profit risk free) but can also require much larger deposits in order to place the bookmaker bets and lay these bets in your Exchange.
 
For details of each bookmaker offer, see this Welcome Offer List & Guides
 
2) Which bookmakers have the best offers for existing customers?
 
Bookmakers vary in their level of generosity to existing customers. This is a little subjective, but in my opinion, this is the ranking of bookmakers for existing customers:
 
Best: Bet365
Bet365 run a £50 Risk Free offer most months (sometimes twice a month during popular football months) which is worth £35. It is very quick to complete (less than 10 minutes) so for £35 to £70, or around £500 a year, it is a great offer.
Plus they have one of the best horse racing offers, up to a £50 risk free bet if your pick a winning horse with high odds. This is a profitable offer worth around £20-£30 a week, or up to £1,000 to £1,500 a year.
 
Second Best: SkyBet
SkyBet run regular £5 to £25 free bet offers on horse racing and football, plus regular £5 risk free offers in SkyVegas.
 
Third & Fourth Best: Coral and Paddy Power
Both these sites run regular horse racing, price boosts and football offers (Bet £20 Get £10 in particular), at least £20 to to be made on every week from these two sites.
 
Good: William Hill, Ladbrokes, BetStars, Stan James, Betway, Bwin, Betfred, Totesport, 188Bet, 888, BetVictor
All these bookmakers run offer(s) each week so it’s worth ensuring you have completed the welcome offer for each of these sites so you can take advantage of their daily offers for existing customers.
 
3) What is mug betting?
If you are only ever betting when you receive an offer, the bookmaker will no longer allow your account to receive free bet offers (this is known as being ‘gubbed’).
To get around this, you should place ‘mug’ bets. ‘Mug’ bets are simply bets that a ‘mug’ punter would place. Mug bets include £1 accumulators (betting on several teams to win) and betting on favourites without an offer.
Most advice suggests that for every offer you receive, you should place 2-3 mug bets.
If you are gubbed, it does kinda suck when you receive the email, as you can no longer profit from the bookmaker’s offers.
It is also becoming increasingly common as bookmakers are noticing more suspected matched bettors, due to its increasing popularity. My advice is to make money whilst you can and take sensible precautions to try to keep your account active.
For more details, see this Mug Betting article
 
4) What is a betting exchange?
A betting exchange is a marketplace for customers to bet between each other on the outcome of particular events. This differs from a traditional bookmaker because an exchange also gives you the ability to be the bookmaker yourself and take bets from other exchange users.
Standard bookmakers generate profit by offering odds that are in their favour. Betting exchanges explained in terms of how they generate revenue is they charge a commission on any winnings a player receives.
The two market leading betting exchanges are, Betfair and Smarkets.
For more details, Betting Exchanges Comparison.
 
5) How we use betting exchanges?
When matched betting, a betting exchange is used to place our lay bets (the opposite bet to our trigger bet). So when we place the trigger bet with the bookmaker on one outcome to release the initial free bet, we must also cover the opposite outcome so that if the bookmaker bet does lose we still win on the lay bet - making it risk free!
Similarly when we are placing the free bet bet with the bookmaker we then lay off that bet using the exchange and because we’re using a free bet but being paid out in cash, this is how we turn free bets into withdrawable cash.
We only ever use betting exchanges for lay bets.
 
ADDRESSING COMMON CONCERNS
 
1) How sustainable is matched betting?
Matched betting over the past 6-9 months has become harder. Most bookmakers have realised they are thousands of matched betters taking advantage of their offers and so have either reduced the generosity of their offers or have made the daily offers more complicated.
However, there is still intense competition between the bookmakers, meaning they will always run special offers to an extent.
By spending a few hours a week, you can still make £300 to £500 a month, whereas in past year(s) this figure could have been £500 to £800.
The biggest issue matched betters face is being ‘gubbed’. As explained in the mug betting FAQ, this is when a bookmaker restricts you from receiving free bets and bonuses.
There are various theories as to how a particular bookmaker decides to to gub a customer. Reasons include taking up too many offers, winning a high % of bets, withdrawing regularly, placing bets far in advance or at irregular times.
The truth is nobody really knows precisely why people gubbed. However, you can expect to get gubbed at some point from a particular bookmaker, it may be 2 months, it may be 2 years, it is hard to know.
I really think though that everyone can make up to £1,000 from the Welcome Offers and at least £300 to £500 a month without any problems. I think the issues comes when you are making £1,000+ every month which sooner or later bookmakers will catch up that you are taking up a lot of offers.
Having said this, some people say they have been making £1,000+ every month for years, so maybe it is possible if you are using a wide variety of bookmakers and consistently placing mug bets.
 
2) Will it impact my credit rating?
Having betting activity on your bank statement does not impact your credit rating.
The only thing to be wary of when making betting deposits and withdrawals is that it can affect your application for a mortgage. So if you’re planning on applying for a mortgage in the near future then I’d recommend using a separate bank account to that which you’ll be applying for the mortgage with.
 
3) Do the bookmakers have terms to stop customers from withdrawing?
The vast majority of welcome offers do not have any withdrawal restrictions.
A handful of welcome offers do but this will be state in the terms and conditions. It is much easier though to use a matched betting website as they will clearly highlight the key terms of each offer (see ‘Which websites teach matched betting’ section below).
Casino offers will almost always have withdrawal restrictions, however for the matched betting welcome offers we are focusing on sports betting.
 
4) Do I need to know about sports?
Not at all! You do not need a sports background or have any sort of betting knowledge, many matched betters do not know anything about sport or betting before learning matched betting.
You may learn matched betting a little faster if you have sports betting experience but it really isn't important at all.
 
WHICH WEBSITE TEACH MATCHED BETTING - YOUR OPTIONS
 
There are 30+ websites that three key stages to matched betting:
Stage 1) Learning matched betting
Stage 2) Completing the Welcome Offers (for new customers)
Stage 3) Profiting in the long term from Daily Offers (for existing customers)
Below I have tried to cover the main sites that will help you with each of these stages.
 
In summary, I may be biased :p but I think the:
Stage 1) and Stage 2) best approach is to use TeamProfit.com
Stage 3) Join a paid membership site, either OddsMonkey.com, ProfitAccumulator.co.uk or ProfitMaximiser.co.uk to continue to make money from the Daily Offers.
 
FREE SITES:
 
TeamProfit.com (link)
I really believe Team Profit is the best site to learn matched betting and complete the welcome offers, but compare us to the other sites and see what you think!
Learn matched betting with animated videos (link)
25+ Welcome Offers using the step by step guides (link)
A free Facebook group to provide help to you anytime you need (link).
 
MoneySavingExpert.com (link)
The advantage of MoneySavingExpert is the sheer volume of content, covering all aspects of matched betting.
The disadvantage of MoneySavingExpert it is not well structured as it is just one forum with a long lists of posts so it takes quite a while to find relevant threads and miss key information.
 
MatchedBettingBlog.com (link)
The advantage of MatchedBettingBlog is the clear layout of the daily offers posted each day for with step by step instructions. It’s a good site to check to avoid missing the best and easier daily offers. The forum community also helps to post additional offers on top of those listed on the homepage, and also provides general advice on completing daily offers.
The disadvantage of MatchedBettingBlog is it is relatively limited in terms of teaching matched betting and does not provide a clear list of welcome offers. Also, for those looking to make £500+ every month, it doesn’t provide any software to help with the more advanced types of matched betting with daily offers, such as horse racing refunds and accumulator refunds, that the paid member sites offer.
Additional free matched betting sites include:
Matchedbettingfree.co.uk (link) (Reddit thread link)
Freebets4all.com (link)
 
PAID SITES:
 
Paid sites usually charge £15 to £25 a month.
In return, they will teach matched betting, provide list of welcome offers and provide daily offers too. Additionally, most paid sites will also provide software that helps to make you more money plus save you time.
 
OddsMonkey.com (link | non)
OddsMonkey charge £15 per month or £150 per year.
They are the most well known provider of matched betting software. Earlier this year, they added the full range of matched betting services, so now they provide all of the below:
Tutorial articles
Welcome offer step by step guides
Daily offers calendar
Software: OddsMatcher, Horse Racing Refunds, Tennis Refunds, range of calculators and spreadsheet
Forum
The advantage of OddsMonkey is the exceptional value. They have the best range of software and tools for matched betters to maximise their profits, are consistently bringing up new tools at no added cost. At only £15 per month it is one of the best options to consider.
The only disadvantage is the forum is not as busy as the next two options, ProfitAccumulator and Profit Maximiser. Though the forum is still a sufficiently active to ensure any questions have you are answered quickly.
 
Profit Accumulator (Link - Chazmer87's I don't have one | non)
Profit Accumulator charge £23 per month or £150 per year
Profit Accumulator helped to bring matched betting to the main stream with a highly active community. There are clear similarities between OddsMonkey and Profit Accumulator in terms of their high standard of software and offers.
The advantage of Profit Accumulator is their very active community. There is a great deal of advice in virtually every aspect of matched betting and the information is all well structured. Plus they have a very good offers coverage.
The only disadvantage to Profit Accumulator is the higher cost. The membership itself is £23 per month, plus their version of the Horse Racing Refunds software is £10 per month, or £115 a year. So in total you are paying £33 per month versus OddsMonkey’s £15 per month.
 
Profit Maximiser (Link | non)
Profit Maximiser is run by the original matched betting guru Mike Cruickshank.
Mike has been building software for matched betters for many years and has a very active Facebook Group.
Each piece of software is sold separately, I believe the below is accurate, each have their own £1 free trials:
Bonus Bagging £27 plus VAT - provides a list of all welcome offers and teaching (Link | non)
Profit Maximiser £97 plus VAT - provides all daily offers (Link | non)
Each Way Sniper £47 plus VAT - provides a horse racing betting system (Link)
Accumulator Generator £149 plus VAT - provides a football betting system (Link)
I believe Mike may have a couple more tools, if so I’ll edit this post if you could please comment / send me a message.
The advantage of Mike’s products is that there is no monthly recurring fee, so if you intend to do this for many months, it may work out profitable to do so. Plus from what I understand their Facebook Group finds some lucrative casino loophole offers faster than other matched betting providers.
The disadvantage of Mike’s products is that you have to buy each product separately rather than having it all within one simple account. Additionally, the total cost if you were to buy all 4 above listed products is £320 + VAT (total cost £384) whereas you could receive all these tools for £15 per month from Oddsmonkey. Having said that, Mike’s products do come with a £1 free trial, just be careful to cancel before the trial ends if you don’t want to continue.
Additional free matched betting sites include: Yes Bets link
Pure Profit link
 
ADDITIONAL
 
1) Depositing and withdrawing
To ensure you qualify for the Welcome Offer, use a bank card to deposit into your newly set up bookmaker account. Most sites will allow Paypal too though check the terms and conditions.
If you use Skrill or Neteller, typically you will not qualify for the Welcome Offer (bookmakers have this rule to prevent fraud) but you can check the terms and conditions.
Withdrawing is easy, you should receive your funds within 1-3 working days depending on the bookmaker.
 
2) Sending identification documents
Occasionally, bookmakers may require to send in identification documents (passport or drivers licence for example) and a copy of your bank card. This is to prevent fraud. This usually happens if you are not listed on the Electoral Roll or there is a difference between your home address and billing address. Simply take a photo of the documents they ask for and email them back.
 
THAT COMPLETES THE MEGA FAQ GUIDE TO MATCHED BETTING!
 
If you have any questions, comments or suggestions, please do post a comment thanks!